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Home»Sports»2026 NIT First Round Forecasts
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2026 NIT First Round Forecasts

By March 19, 2026No Comments4 Mins Read
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California vs. UIC: NIT First Round Preview and Betting Insights

California Golden Bears are set to face off against the UIC Flames in the first round of the NIT on March 18, 2026. The game will take place at Haas Pavilion, where Cal enters as 6.5-point home favorites. With a solid home record of 16-4, California looks to leverage its home court advantage against UIC, which has a 19-15 record and an away mark of 7-8.

How to Watch California vs. UIC

The matchup is scheduled for 8:00 PM PT / 11:00 PM ET and will be broadcast nationally on ESPN2. Viewers can expect a thrilling spectacle as both teams bring their unique strengths to the court.

Game Analysis

California enters this NIT clash with impressive credentials, having defeated AP Top 25 teams earlier this season. They’re bolstered by talented players such as Dai Dai Ames and Justin Pippen, who give the Golden Bears a competitive edge. On the other hand, UIC has gained momentum thanks to the return of sophomore point guard Elijah Crawford, who has been pivotal for their offense.

Betting Odds

As of March 18, betting lines have significantly shifted in favor of California. They are currently valued at 71¢ to win, a money line equivalent of -245, while UIC stands at 30¢ (+233). The point spread has moved to California favored by 7.5, with the over/under set at 152.5. Early bettors initially witnessed the point spread open at -4.5 moving to the current mark of -7.5, showcasing strong confidence in California’s ability to deliver a cover.

Picks and Predictions

California vs. UIC ATS Pick: Cal -5.5

Focusing on the spread, California has established itself as the play, especially considering their home floor advantage. The Bears boast an impressive lineup that can both secure offensive rebounds and contest shots effectively, making it challenging for UIC to control the game’s tempo. Given their strong track record at home and UIC’s struggles against Top 50 NET teams, betters should consider backing California to cover the 6.5-point spread.

California vs. UIC O/U Pick: Under 152.5

Analyzing the game’s projected total, I recommend locking in the Under 152.5. UIC’s method of relying on traps and turnovers typically slows down play against a savvy backcourt like California’s. Expect a closely contested, defensive matchup that keeps the score well beneath the 150.5 threshold.

Betting Splits

Public betting trends lean heavily towards California, with 96.13% of the tickets backing them. Notably, they hold an overwhelming 99.3% of the aggregate stake, suggesting a lack of public confidence in UIC for this match.

Spread Analysis

The spread market shows a more balanced betting action. California has captured 51.75% of the tickets while UIC has garnered 48.25%. This indicates a competently debated matchup, although major public sentiment still sides with California.

Game-Total Splits

Significant public support for the Over has emerged, with 80.54% of the tickets betting on a higher total. However, the statistical analysis presented here leans towards a low-scoring affair, making the Under a viable pick.

Team Stats Comparison

When evaluating the teams’ performances against strong competition, California holds a distinct advantage. Against Top 50 opponents, they carry a 4-4 record, whereas UIC shows a disheartening 0-3 against the same level of competition. Additionally, California’s Strength of Schedule (0.5326) demonstrates their displayed skill set against tougher opponents compared to UIC’s 0.5076.


For further insights and live betting updates, check out some of the top California sports betting apps to ensure you’re making the most informed decisions. The stage is set for an exciting contest, and with both teams vying for a win in this pivotal moment, fans and bettors alike will have plenty to anticipate.

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