Becerra Emerges as a Contender in the California Gubernatorial Race

Photo: Yalonda M. James/San Francisco Chronicle/Getty Images

The recent exit of former Congressman Eric Swalwell from the California gubernatorial race, following serious allegations, has created an unexpected shift in the dynamic of the Democratic primary. This unexpected vacancy has opened the door for Xavier Becerra, California’s former Health and Human Services secretary and attorney general, who is now leveraging this opportunity to strengthen his candidacy.

Becerra’s Rise in Polling

Previously struggling with low single-digit support, Becerra’s campaign is witnessing a resurgence, reportedly jumping into double digits in a series of recent polls. As noted by The New York Times, his numbers have received a noticeable boost since Swalwell’s fallout. Four recent surveys indicate that Becerra has gained at least 10% of voter support—doubling his previous standing.

Factors Driving Becerra’s Momentum

Following Swalwell’s controversial departure from the race, Becerra appears to be attracting voters who previously supported Swalwell, as well as those disenchanted with other Democratic candidates. Additionally, his appeal to Latino voters and center-left constituents places him in a favorable position as the primary approaches.

Becerra’s revitalized campaign also includes strategic enhancements, such as hiring a new social media strategist, Tonya Lamont, which has significantly increased his online visibility. Recent events, including a well-attended gathering in Los Angeles, suggest that his campaign is gaining traction.

The Democratic Field and Lockout Concerns

The California gubernatorial race, which once seemed lackluster, is now a focal point of interest. The Democratic establishment has been anxious about potential “lockout” scenarios where two Republicans could advance to the general election. With Swalwell’s exit, the concern has shifted to whether Becerra’s rise will help consolidate support around leading Democratic candidates Tom Steyer and Katie Porter, who initially seemed the most viable options to rally the party’s base.

Recent Poll Insights

Recent polling data from Evitarus for the state’s Democratic Party indicates a tightening race. Becerra is in a tie with Steyer, each receiving 13% support, with Porter trailing at 10%. All candidates are positioned behind the leading Republican candidates, Steve Hilton and Chad Bianco, who hold 16% and 14%, respectively.

Additional Candidates and Campaign Developments

The dynamics don’t stop with Becerra. Former state controller Betty Yee has withdrawn from the race, aligning with party interests. Meanwhile, Matt Mahan, the mayor of San Jose, is launching an advertising blitz aimed at capturing center-right voter interest, potentially complicating the voter landscape for Becerra and other Democrats.

The Potential Implications

As Californian voters prepare to receive mail-in ballots in May, the question remains: will Becerra’s resurgence help solidify Democratic focus, or will it create further fragmentation among party voters? The upcoming weeks in the campaign will be critical, as a strong Democratic showing in the primary is essential to maintaining the party’s dominance in the state.

Conclusion

The California gubernatorial race is more unpredictable than ever, with Becerra emerging as a significant contender following Swalwell’s downfall. As the Democratic field continues to evolve, all eyes will be on how these candidates position themselves ahead of the primary election. Will Becerra’s momentum continue, or will other candidates regain their footing? The answer may very well determine California’s next governor.

Stay informed by following developments in the California gubernatorial race as they unfold.

For more insights on political trends and candidates, visit The California Democratic Party and The New York Times.